2018-2019 price predictions

The combined effects of the new tax code and rising mortgage rates will have an adverse impact on residential real estate prices in 2018. However, housing experts believe that home values will continue to rise this year.

What is the Home Price Expectation Survey?

Each quarter, Pulsenomics -  a research firm with expertise in the U.S. housing market - surveys a nationwide panel of economists, real estate experts, and investment strategists. They release the results in what they call the Price Expectation Survey.

Who was surveyed?

Those surveyed include experts such as:

Daniel Bachman, Senior Manager, U.S. Economics at Deloitte Services, LP.
Kathy Bostjancic, Head of U.S. Macro Investors Service at Oxford Economics.
David Downs, Real Estate Finance Professor at VCU.
Edward Pinto, Resident Fellow at American Enterprise Institute.
Albert Saiz, Director at MIT Center for Real Estate.

Where do these experts see home values headed in 2018?

Here is a breakdown of where they see home values twelve months from now:

21.6% believe prices will appreciate by 6% or more.
71.6% believe prices will appreciate between 3 and 5.99%.
5.7% believe prices will appreciate between 0 and 2.99%.
Only 1.1% believe prices will depreciate.

Bottom Line

Almost ninety-nine percent of the top experts studying residential real estate believe that prices will appreciate this year, and over 93% believe home values will appreciate by at least 3%.